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TRENDS IN NFL WEEK 12


Trends in NFL week 12 can be found on lots of different websites. I personally look at Covers.com and Espn.com to research NFL trends and lines for the week. ESPN has a system called AccuScore it’s a simulation of 10,000 games played and shows what the average out come of the game would be. Normally the AccuScore will determine the line on the game. Example this week the Steelers play the Chiefs in Kansas City AccuScore was 26.7-13.0. The line on the game is Steelers -10.5 not -13.5 because the game is being played in KC. The home field team gets -3 for home field advantage. This is simply another tool you can use to research your games.

After the great day of football on Thanksgiving this Sunday will have some big shoes to fill. If you bet smart and took all the favorites on the moneyline you cashed all your bets, the under also came in on all 3 games. Green Bay Packers showed everyone that their defense is just fine. Packers averaging 2.2 interceptions a game leading the NFL, and always seem to let the other team score once they are ahead by double digits. I was trying to find the Defensive yards per quarter but couldn’t. I am not sure the Books did to well on the Packers game everyone wanted to believe in the Lions, but lets be honest they aren’t ready for the big stage. Don’t even get me started on the Dallas Cowboys, they basically made the whole turkey dinner and invited the Miami Dolphins in to their house to eat all the food, but managed to shut the door right as they got there. Miami is looking much better. Yet after another look at Dallas Cowboys, us NFL analyst still confused about this Cowboys team. Baltimore Ravens out muscled the 49ers without Ray Lewis, they stepped up huge and had 9 sacks! Not that I believe this kind of stuff happens or ever would, but do you think a Harbaugh brother took a loss to benefit the other? 49ers are clearly in the division lead and should get a first round bye with two more wins. It was a great day of football, hope everyone had a great Thanksgiving, us Chiefs fans got a big Turkey this year in Kyle Orton.

Trends for NFL week 12 seem to be Carolina, Patriots, Steelers, and Atlanta. Personally I haven’t researched a ton this week since the holidays have been going on, but I do like a few games this week. According to Covers.com top 10% handicappers, Carolina is a 78% picked over the Colts by -3.5. I do agree that Carolina should win this game, the Indianapolis Colts have absolutely nothing to play for besides getting Andrew Luck. Which means losing, look for Cam Newton to have a good game, he is a must start in your Fantasy. Another NFL week 12 trend is Patriots -3.5 over the Eagles. Seems like Vick is not 100% and will be sitting out again leaving the ball in the hands of Vince Young yet again. Young did play pretty good for his first game back in almost 1 year. I think this game should be a close one not sure about taking the -3.5, maybe suck up the money and take Patriots on the ML or tease it to -3. I have a hate/hate relationship with the Steelers. Doesn’t seem to matter how I bet the Steelers game it always goes the other way, I personally quit betting their games just from the inconstant results in their play. They are 5-5 ATS this year. The Accuscore of this game is 26-13 and it should be pretty close to that. That’s if the Chiefs can put up 13 points.   The last trend in NFL week 12 is the Atlanta Falcons. Falcons have been playing some good football and are 4-1 in the last 5 games. They are favored by 9.5 points over the Vikings, this looks like a big line but the Vikings clearly are hurting bad with Adrian Peterson out this week and a rookie quarterback. Look for Atlanta to welcome the Vikings to the Georgia Dome in a beat down!! Fantasy might want to play Falcons Defense.  The O/U of the week looks to be Tampa Bay and Tennessee at 43.5 I understand what everyone is thinking 2 teams with a running offense.

Follow me on Twitter @MOBSTERSGEAR

Picks

Falcons -9.5

Carolina -3

Patriots -3

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