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Week 8: Back Home in the Win Column

No matter what the circumstance, it always feels good to come back home and sleep in your own comfortable bed.  That’s what winning feels like.  As Chiefs fans we are happy to be back home, home being the win column.  No one is happier to be back in his home than I am after my disappointing week six fantasy loss.  Unfortunately, I seem to have a tougher match-up this week then do the Kansas City Chiefs

As expected the Chiefs did win last week and showed off some of their offensive firepower.  I was projecting that they would be getting better with the schedule getting easier.  This week will be no exception.  The Bills are the last remaining winless team in the NFL but they aren’t exactly as terrible as their record shows.  They put up 30 points on the Patriots and posted 34 against the Ravens, so obviously they have the ability to move the ball and move it fast.  They lack a real running game but have embarrassed secondaries with their passing attack.  With that said don’t assume that the Chiefs Defense/Special Teams is a must start, especially since anyone who owned the Ravens thought they’d be pitching a shutout last week.  However, the Chiefs D is still a valuable option this week; just don’t be surprised if they do allow more than 20 points.  It still shocks me each time I say this, but Matt Cassel is slowing becoming a fantasy option, especially for QB strapped owners who may have lost Tony Romo this week.  If your starting QB is on bye or injured (Brett Farve) or benched (Alex Smith) then I would suggest starting Cassel in their place this week.  Jamaal Charles and Thomas Jones should be in your starting line-up this week as well since the Bills defense has had problems stopping the run.  Look for a repeat performance from the duo as we saw last week.  They both should get roughly the same amount of yards and a coin flip will determine who sees the endzone.  The one thing that has hurt Cassel’s development into a competent passer is the presence of a #2 WR, and that is still a huge question mark for the Chiefs this season.  Dwayne Bowe has put together a few solid weeks in a row and should be a staple in everyone’s starting line-up this week.  However, besides Tony Moeaki, no one else from the Chiefs passing game should even be on your roster.  I think Moeaki sees the endzone again this week.  Believe it or not, but you have to start Ryan Succop this week.  We could be one of week eights highest scoring kickers.    

Week 8 projections for your Kansas City Chiefs:

Matt Cassel: 220 yards, 2 TD

Jamaal Charles: 85 yards, 1 TD, 2 catches 20 yards

Thomas Jones: 100 yards, 1 catch 10 yards

Dwayne Bowe: 5 catches 80 yards, 1 TD

Chris Chambers: 2 catches 25 yards

Dexter McCluster: 4 catches 50 yards

Tony Moeaki: 5 catches 60 yards, 1 TD

Ryan Succop: 3/3 XP 3/3 FG

Special Teams/Defense: 2 sack, 1 INT, 20 points allowed

Around the League

Start’em:


QB: Kyle Orton, Ben Roethlisberger and Matt Cassel (yes I said it)

RB: Jamaal Charles, Marshawn Lynch and Felix Jones

WR: Pierre Garcon, Terrell Owens and Dwayne Bowe

TE: Jason Witten, Brandon Pettigrew and Tony Moeaki

K: Nick Folk, Matt Prater and Ryan Succop

Defense: Titians, Patriots and Cowboys

Sit’em:

QB: Brett Favre, Matt Schaub and Mark Sanchez

RB: Ryan Mathews, Brandon Jackson and Cedric Benson

WR: Donald Driver, Santonio Holmes and Michael Crabtree

TE: Aaron Hernandez, Marcedes Lewis and Jermaine Gresham

K: Stephen Gostkowski, Garrett Hartley and Mason Crosby

Defense: Vikings, Saints and 49ers

If You Got’em, Drop’em:

Alex Smith

CJ Spiller

Mike Tolbert

TJ Houshmandzadeh

Kevin Walter

Eddie Royal

Brent Celek

If You Need’em, Get’em:

Ryan Fitzpatrick

LeGarrette Blount

Donald Brown

Lee Evans

Davone Bess

James Jones

Jacob Tamme

Week eight Fantasy Mailbag:

Bob writes:

I have Big Ben and Matt Schaub.  Would you trade Schaub for Torain?  Guy also has McFadden should I ask for him instead?

Bob, McFadden is developing into a solid tier one fantasy RB so I doubt anyone will trade him for a struggling QB.  However, some owners might not be sold on Torain.  If you can steal away Torain for Schaub then pull the trigger.

Luke writes:

Would anyone consider sitting MJD this week against DAL for T. Jones against BUF, or Lynch against OAK sorry run D?

Luke, it’s hard to sit MJD even with his poor production thus far this season.  MJD will still be a target in the Jaguars passing game which Jones hasn’t been in KC or Lynch for SEA.  I do like Lynch this week and could be a replacement for a struggling MJD.  However, once you start looking too much into matchups you start losing games.  Always play the best player overall.

Brian writes:

I’ve got an underachieving Colston, DeAngelo Williams and MJD.  Best, LT, Maclin, Dez, and Roy Williams are my flex options.  How should I improve?  Work a trade for a stud RB or hang in there?  Roddy White and Hakeem Nicks are my other WRs.  I have A Hernandez at TE as trade bait.

Brian, I don’t see much value in Hernandez to use as trade bait.  You have a stub RB in LT, yes he is getting older but he is playing far better than many expected.  A lineup with MJD, LT and Best is pretty solid in my mind.  Colston is getting better each week and White and Nicks are studs.  The weakest link in your lineup is Williams, and he has no trade value.  Stick it out man, you got a solid team.

Mike writes:

My Team is…

QB: Matt Ryan, Fitz, Kitna
RB: CJ, Felix, DeAngelo, Brandon Jacobs
WR: Roddy White, Steve Smith (NYG), Mike Williams (TB), Mike Thomas
TE: Zach Miller, Mercedes Lewis
Titans D/ST
Should I stick with Ryan (BYE this week) or pull one of these trades?
SEND: CJ, Ryan, DeAngelo
RECEIVE: Peyton, MJD, LT
or
SEND: CJ, DeAngelo, Steve Smith
RECEIVE: Orton, Gore, Calvin

Mike, if anyone is willing to give you Peyton, MJD and LT for what you’re offering I wish they were in my league because they are crazy.  In that offer you are losing Chris Johnson but gaining the best QB and two solid RBs.  It’s a no brainer!  The other offer mentioned doesn’t benefit you as much as I think you’re giving up too much.  Take the first offer you mentioned and if you can’t get a deal done, go with Fitzpatrick at QB.  Trust me I’m not crazy, he is actually in the top 5 as far as average fantasy points per game. 

Jay writes:

Here’s my current team:
QB: Kyle Orton
RB: Adrian Peterson
RB: Chris Johnson
WR: Randy Moss
WR: Brandon Marshall
WR: Hakeem Nicks
TE: Tony Gonzalez
WR/TE: Pierre Garcon
BN: Kenny Britt
BN: Joe Flacco
BN: Dez Bryant
BN:
Shonn Greene
BN: Owen Daniels

I’m not big on Randy Moss for the rest of the season, would love to package him for an upgrade. What do you think of Moss/Dez for a Reggie Wayne or Andre Johnson?  Do you think I have a shot, or should look for something else?

Jay, if someone is going to give you Wayne or Johnson for Moss and Bryant than please pull the trigger.  However, I doubt you’ll get an owner who would go for that trade.  Quite honestly I think you have a damn solid team.

Brett writes:

I lost Romo Monday night.  I picked up Stafford and I have McNabb as my backup.  I’m in 1st place in the league.  Do you think I need to do this trade?
I trade: Moreno & Manningham
I get: Cutler & Snelling
I have Turner, Ronnie Brown and Jacobs as my RB’s too and I’m loaded at WR.  

Brett, absolutely not!  This trade is terrible for you.  Cutler is horrible, he is not better than Stafford in my opinion.  There is no reason to trade two starters for a horrible QB and a back-up RB.  If you’re looking for a replacement QB I would suggest Ryan Fitzpatrick as he is currently in the top five for point per game.  Matt Cassel wouldn’t be a bad option this week either.  Please don’t do that trade!

Aaron writes:

What value does LT have at the moment? Meaning what WR could I get for him straight up?   

Aaron, it’s hard to say since I don’t know who you’re targeting or what needs the other teams has.  A team hurting for RB help could give you a top tier WR.  Other than that you could possibly get an upper #2 tier WR straight up.

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